Liechtenstein0 - 3N. Macedonia
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sunday, November 17 at 2pm in Nations League
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liechtenstein | Draw | North Macedonia |
| 18.73% ( | 22.87% ( | 58.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.09% ( | 48.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29% ( | 71% ( |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.88% ( | 40.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.24% ( | 76.76% ( |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( | 16.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.87% ( | 46.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Liechtenstein | Draw | North Macedonia |
| 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 2-1 @ 4.97% ( 2-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-1 @ 1.51% ( 3-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.73% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.48% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0-2 @ 10.74% ( 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0-3 @ 6.47% ( 1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0-4 @ 2.92% ( 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 1-4 @ 2.67% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0-5 @ 1.05% ( 1-5 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.38% |


