Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.