N. Macedonia1 - 0Latvia
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.43%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for North Macedonia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for North Macedonia.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Latvia |
| 68.36% ( | 20.41% ( | 11.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.03% ( | 52.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.43% ( | 74.57% ( |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( | 14.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.42% ( | 42.58% ( |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.6% | 53.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.1% ( | 86.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| North Macedonia | Draw | Latvia |
| 1-0 @ 14.97% ( 2-0 @ 14.43% 3-0 @ 9.28% ( 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 4-0 @ 4.47% ( 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 5-1 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 68.36% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-2 @ 2.84% Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 1-2 @ 2.95% ( 0-2 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.23% |


