World Cup Qualifying - Europe
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Daniel James
9'
-
Ben Davies
47'
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Rabbi Matondo
90'
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Askhat Tagybergen
32'
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Maksim Samorodov
42'
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Islam Chesnokov
61'
Wales vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 86.97%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 3.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.63%) and 1-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.49%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
Result
Wales
86.97%
▲
(+1.29)
Draw
9.75%
▼
(-0.88)
Kazakhstan
3.28%
▼
(-0.42)
Both Teams to Score:
32.56%
▼
(-0.40)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.04%
▲
(+2.00)
Under 2.5
35.96%
▼
(-2.00)
Over 3.5
41.94%
▲
(+2.17)
Under 3.5
58.06%
▼
(-2.17)
Over 4.5
23.72%
▲
(+1.76)
Under 4.5
76.28%
▼
(-1.77)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5
94.36%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 0.5
5.64%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 1.5
78.15%
▲
(+1.82)
Under 1.5
21.85%
▼
(-1.82)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5
34.5%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 0.5
65.5%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 1.5
6.78%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
93.21%
▲
(+0.29)
Score analysis
Wales
86.94%
Draw
9.75%
Kazakhstan
3.28%
Wales
2-0
@
15.26%
▼
(-0.34)
3-0 @ 14.63% ▲ (+0.25)
1-0 @ 10.61% ▼ (-0.66)
4-0 @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.57)
2-1 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.54)
4-1 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.14)
6-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.36)
5-1 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.13)
7-0 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 86.94%
3-0 @ 14.63% ▲ (+0.25)
1-0 @ 10.61% ▼ (-0.66)
4-0 @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.57)
2-1 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.54)
4-1 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.14)
6-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.36)
5-1 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.13)
7-0 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 86.94%
Draw
1-1
@
4.49%
▼
(-0.39)
0-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 9.75%
0-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 9.75%
Kazakhstan
0-1
@
1.56%
▼
(-0.21)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 3.28%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 3.28%