Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia
Ukraine3 - 1Belgium
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Albania 1-2 Ukraine
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Ukraine 1-1 Belgium
Belgium will be looking to start Garcia's tenure with a win, but we think that they may have to settle for a draw in Murcia, especially as Ukraine have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent times after avoiding defeat in their final four matches of the league phase. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ukraine | Draw | Belgium |
31.43% ( -0.24) | 27.21% ( -0.05) | 41.36% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
