UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Air Albania Stadium

Albania
1 - 2
Ukraine

Bajrami (75' pen.)
Bajrami (69'), Tuci (80'), Dovbyk (80')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zinchenko (5'), Yaremchuk (10')
Mitaj (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Albania and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Albania 0-0 Czech Republic
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Czech Republic	0	0	0
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Ukraine

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Ukraine
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Czech Republic	0	0	0
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Albania had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Albania win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
Albania	Draw	Ukraine
33.17% ( 0.06)	27.57% ( -0)	39.26% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 48.78% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.11% (

0.02)

56.89% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.19% (

0.02)

77.81% (

-0.02)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

0.05)

32.02% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.51% (

0.06)

68.49% (

-0.06)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

-0.03)

28.24% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05% (

-0.03)

63.95% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Albania 33.16%

Ukraine 39.25%

Draw 27.57%

Albania	Draw	Ukraine
1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.16%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.25%