/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Falblog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fukrlog.png)
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Nedim Bajrami
69'
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Nedim Bajrami
75'
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Indrit Tuci
80'
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Artem Dovbyk
80'
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Oleksandr Zinchenko
5'
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Roman Yaremchuk
10'
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Mario Mitaj
79'
Albania vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Albania had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Albania win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.
Result
Albania
33.17%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
27.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Ukraine
39.26%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
48.78%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.11%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
56.89%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
22.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
77.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
9.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
90.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5
67.97%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
32.02%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
31.51%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
68.49%
▼
(-0.07)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5
71.76%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
28.24%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
36.05%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
63.95%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Albania
33.16%
Draw
27.57%
Ukraine
39.25%
Albania
1-0
@
10.29%
2-1 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.16%
2-1 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.16%
Draw
1-1
@
13.02%
0-0 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.57%
0-0 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.57%
Ukraine
0-1
@
11.43%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 39.25%
1-2 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 39.25%