Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 58.82%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 22.57% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 2-1 (5.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.