Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 5, 2025 at 4pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium

Brighton
4 - 2
Arsenal

Kirby (16'), Cankovic (43', 52'), Seike (54')
Olislagers (21'), Thorisdottir (45'), Hayes (85'), Noordam (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Foord (29'), Caldentey (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Last Game: Everton 2-3 Brighton
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 5-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, April 30 at 6pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 73.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 11.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 1-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 2-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawArsenal Women
11.63% (1.158 1.16)15.3% (1.046 1.05)73.06% (-2.207 -2.21)
Both teams to score 59.33% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.68% (-1.991 -1.99)28.32% (1.99 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.86% (-2.505 -2.51)49.14% (2.504 2.5)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.419 0.42)36.4% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (0.422 0.42)73.18% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.29% (-0.83800000000001 -0.84)6.7% (0.837 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.17% (-2.318 -2.32)24.82% (2.315 2.32)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 11.63%
    Arsenal Women 73.06%
    Draw 15.3%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 3.37% (0.31 0.31)
1-0 @ 2.47% (0.307 0.31)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 1.25% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 1.14% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.63%
1-1 @ 6.66% (0.543 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.215 0.22)
0-0 @ 2.44% (0.28 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 15.3%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.326 0.33)
0-2 @ 8.91% (0.224 0.22)
1-3 @ 8.11% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
0-3 @ 8.03% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.468 0.47)
1-4 @ 5.48% (-0.335 -0.34)
0-4 @ 5.42% (-0.397 -0.4)
2-3 @ 4.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-5 @ 2.96% (-0.336 -0.34)
0-5 @ 2.93% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-4 @ 2.77% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-5 @ 1.5% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-6 @ 1.33% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-6 @ 1.32% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 73.06%

How you voted: Brighton vs Arsenal

Brighton & Hove Albion Women
12.5%
Draw
6.3%
Arsenal Women
81.3%
16
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 7
Arsenal
5-0
Brighton
Mead (13'), Foord (22'), Maanum (25'), Hurtig (76'), Russo (90+5' pen.)

Bergsvand (40'), Haley (64')
> Preview
May 18, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Arsenal
5-0
Brighton
Russo (17', 24'), Miedema (64'), Carabali (67' og.), Maanum (88')

Losada (43')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Brighton Women
0-3
Arsenal Women

Losada (32'), Bergsvand (72')
Blackstenius (12'), Foord (80'), Maanum (90+5')
Russo (83')
> Preview
May 10, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Brighton Women
0-4
Arsenal Women
Blackstenius (6', 8'), Maanum (39'), Pelova (45')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Arsenal Women
4-0
Brighton Women
Little (28'), Blackstenius (50'), Mead (63', 83')
> Preview