Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 72.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.12%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.38%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.