Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
Apr 30, 2025 at 6pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
5 - 2
Arsenal

Nobbs (30'), Hanson (45+1'), Grant (46', 73'), Daly (59')
D’Angelo (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Blackstenius (68'), Russo (71')
Catley (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs 2-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Lyon 1-4 Arsenal
Sunday, April 27 at 5pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 72.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.12%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.38%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawArsenal Women
12.54% (0.108 0.11)15.33% (0.021999999999998 0.02)72.13% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 62.57% (0.271 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.16% (0.16799999999999 0.17)25.83% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.99% (0.218 0.22)46% (-0.225 -0.23)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (0.277 0.28)33.22% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16% (0.306 0.31)69.83% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.69% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)6.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.27% (0.039000000000001 0.04)23.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 12.54%
    Arsenal Women 72.13%
    Draw 15.33%
Aston Villa WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 3.51% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 2.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.29% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 12.54%
1-1 @ 6.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 15.33%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 8.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 7.37% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 5.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-4 @ 5.09% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.48% (0.032 0.03)
1-5 @ 3.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 3.09% (0.025 0.02)
0-5 @ 2.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.71% (0.016 0.02)
1-6 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-6 @ 1.3% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.14% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 72.13%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Aston Villa Women
8.7%
Draw
8.7%
Arsenal Women
82.6%
23
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal
4-0
Aston Villa
Russo (17', 90+4'), Mead (39'), Blackstenius (71')
McCabe (89')

Patten (18')
> Preview
Mar 24, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Aston Villa
1-3
Arsenal
Salmon (35')
Daly (87')
Pelova (54'), Wubben-Moy (84'), Blackstenius (86')
Cooney-Cross (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal
2-1
Aston Villa
McCabe (90+2'), Russo (90+4')
Pacheco (25')
Pacheco (43'), Parker (86')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Arsenal
0-2
Aston Villa

Taylor (32'), McCabe (86')
Daly (45+2'), Lehmann (49')
Magill (70'), Allen (77'), Hampton (85'), Hanson (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2022 4.15pm
Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
1-4
Arsenal
Hanson (6')
Corsie (26' og.), Miedema (30'), McCabe (62'), Nobbs (84')
> Preview