Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur Women had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur Women win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.