Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Women win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Women would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
37.47% ( 0.12)	25.17% ( 0.01)	37.35% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 57.15% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.55% (

-0.05)

46.44% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.27% (

-0.05)

68.72% (

0.05)

Crystal Palace Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

0.04)

24.37% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.22% (

0.06)

58.77% (

-0.06)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56% (

-0.09)

24.43% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.13% (

-0.13)

58.86% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace Women 37.47%

Aston Villa Women 37.35%

Draw 25.17%

Crystal Palace Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.47%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 37.35%