Women's Super League Gameweek 16
Mar 16, 2025 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Selhurst Park
  • Aniek Nouwen 33' goal
  • Ashleigh Weerden 53' goal
  • Katie Stengel 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Noelle Maritz 35'
  • goal Lucy Parker 85'

Crystal Palace Women vs Aston Villa Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 2.00pm
Crystal Palace 0 - 1 Liverpool
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Katie Stengel

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 2.00pm
Aston Villa 0 - 2 Everton
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Rachel Daly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Women win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Women would win this match.

Result

Crystal Palace Women 37.47% (+0.13)
Draw 25.17% (+0.02)
Aston Villa Women 37.35% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.15% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.55% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 46.44% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 31.27% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 68.72% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.56% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.44% (+0.04)

Crystal Palace Women Goals

Over 0.5 75.63% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 24.37% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 41.22% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 58.77% (-0.07)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 75.56% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 24.43% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 41.13% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 58.86% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Crystal Palace Women 37.47%
Draw 25.17%
Aston Villa Women 37.35%
Crystal Palace Women
1-0 @ 8.41% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.36% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.93% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 37.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.17%
Aston Villa Women
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 37.35%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Nov 17, 2024 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Villa Park
  • Anna Patten 40' goal
  • Rachel Daly 45'+5' goal
  • Ebony Salmon 90'+4' goal
  • goal My Cato 30'
  • yellowcard Lily Woodham 45'+8'
  • goal Annabel Blanchard 86'