Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Women win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Women would win this match.