Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Women	Draw	Manchester United Women
49.81% ( -1.08)	23.12% ( 0.58)	27.07% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 59.98% (

-1.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.15% (

-2.31)

40.85% (

2.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.77% (

-2.41)

63.24% (

2.41)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.42% (

-1.23)

16.58% (

1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.63% (

-2.26)

46.37% (

2.26)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9% (

-0.84)

28.1% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.23% (

-1.09)

63.78% (

1.09)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Women 49.81%

Manchester United Women 27.07%

Draw 23.12%

Arsenal Women	Draw	Manchester United Women
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.36% Total : 49.81%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.07%