MX23RW : Monday, May 12 06:36:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 22
May 10, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
4 - 3
Man Utd

Kelly (2'), Caldentey (50' pen.), Maanum (56'), Little (61')
Walti (82'), Mead (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Toone (13'), Terland (70'), Le Tissier (76' pen.)
Miyazawa (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Arsenal
Monday, May 5 at 4pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Man City
Sunday, May 4 at 12pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-1 Manchester United Women

Arsenal have struggled in their last two away league games, but they have proven to be a strong force in their previous seven WSL home matches, and with that in mind, we think that they will make full use of home advantage to seal second spot with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester United Women
49.81% (-1.079 -1.08) 23.12% (0.579 0.58) 27.07% (0.507 0.51)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-1.6 -1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.15% (-2.311 -2.31)40.85% (2.319 2.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.77% (-2.405 -2.41)63.24% (2.412 2.41)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42% (-1.227 -1.23)16.58% (1.235 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.63% (-2.257 -2.26)46.37% (2.264 2.26)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (-0.84399999999999 -0.84)28.1% (0.85 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (-1.085 -1.09)63.78% (1.092 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 49.81%
    Manchester United Women 27.07%
    Draw 23.12%
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester United Women
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.534 0.53)
2-0 @ 7.52% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.248 -0.25)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.186 -0.19)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 49.81%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.477 0.48)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.121 0.12)
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.477 0.48)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 27.07%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Man Utd

Arsenal Women
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Manchester United Women
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
Man Utd
1-1
Arsenal
Malard (82')
Turner (57'), Ferreira (87')
Russo (63')
Little (10'), McCabe (87')
Feb 17, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Arsenal
3-1
Man Utd
Ferreira (10' og.), Lacasse (35'), Little (44' pen.)
McCabe (38'), Wubben-Moy (50'), Foord (90')
Garcia (90+6')
Blundell (26'), Evans (34')
Oct 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Man Utd
2-2
Arsenal
Galton (27'), Malard (81')
Zelem (58')
Blackstenius (14'), Lacasse (90+3')
Eidevall (59'), McCabe (61'), Foord (63')
Apr 19, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 18
Man Utd
1-0
Arsenal
Russo (45+6')
Nov 19, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 8
Arsenal
2-3
Man Utd
Maanum (46'), Wienroither (73')
Toone (39'), Turner (85'), Russo (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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