Women's Super League Gameweek 22
May 10, 2025 12.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Chloe Kelly 2' goal
  • Mariona Caldentey 50' goal
  • Frida Maanum 56' goal
  • Kim Little 61' goal
  • Lia Walti 82' yellowcard
  • Beth Mead 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ella Toone 13'
  • goal Elisabeth Terland 70'
  • goal Maya Le Tissier 76'
  • yellowcard Hinata Miyazawa 79'

Arsenal Women vs Manchester United Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 5, 2025 4.00pm
Brighton 4 - 2 Arsenal
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Alessia Russo

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 4, 2025 12.00pm
Man Utd 2 - 2 Man City
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Elisabeth Terland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result

Arsenal Women 49.81% (-1.08)
Draw 23.12% (+0.58)
Manchester United Women 27.07% (+0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.98% (-1.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.15% (-2.32)
Under 2.5 40.85% (+2.32)
Over 3.5 36.77% (-2.41)
Under 3.5 63.24% (+2.42)
Over 4.5 19.6% (-1.88)
Under 4.5 80.4% (+1.89)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 83.42% (-1.23)
Under 0.5 16.58% (+1.24)
Over 1.5 53.63% (-2.26)
Under 1.5 46.37% (+2.27)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5 71.9% (-0.85)
Under 0.5 28.1% (+0.85)
Over 1.5 36.23% (-1.09)
Under 1.5 63.78% (+1.10)

Score analysis

Arsenal Women 49.81%
Draw 23.12%
Manchester United Women 27.07%
Arsenal Women
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.37% (+0.54)
2-0 @ 7.52% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.25)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.23)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.19)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 49.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62% (+0.43)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 4.66% (+0.48)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.12%
Manchester United Women
1-2 @ 6.75% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 5.91% (+0.48)
0-2 @ 3.75% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.59% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 27.07%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 6
Nov 3, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • Millie Turner 57' yellowcard
  • Melvine Malard 82' goal
  • Geyse Ferreira 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kim Little 10'
  • goal Alessia Russo 63'
  • yellowcard Katie McCabe 87'
Women's Super League Gameweek 14
Feb 17, 2024 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Meadow Park
  • Geyse Ferreira 10' goal
  • Cloe Lacasse 35' goal
  • Katie McCabe 38' yellowcard
  • Kim Little 44' goal
  • Lotte Wubben-Moy 50' yellowcard
  • Caitlin Foord 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hannah Blundell 26'
  • yellowcard Gemma Evans 34'
  • goal Lucia Garcia 90'+6'
Women's Super League Gameweek 2
Oct 6, 2023 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • Leah Galton 27' goal
  • Katie Zelem 58' yellowcard
  • Melvine Malard 81' goal
  • goal Stina Blackstenius 14'
  • yellowcard Jonas Eidevall 59'
  • yellowcard Katie McCabe 61'
  • yellowcard Caitlin Foord 63'
  • goal Cloe Lacasse 90'+3'
Women's Super League Gameweek 18
Apr 19, 2023 7.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alessia Russo 45'+6' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Nov 19, 2022 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Frida Maanum 46' goal
  • Laura Wienroither 73' goal
  • goal Ella Toone 39'
  • goal Millie Turner 85'
  • goal Alessia Russo 90'+1'
Women's Super League Gameweek 14
Feb 5, 2022 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Katie McCabe 57' yellowcard
  • Vivianne Miedema 63' yellowcard
  • Katie McCabe 75' redcard
  • Stina Blackstenius 79' goal
  • goal Alessia Russo 10'
  • yellowcard Diane Caldwell 55'