Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm

The Oval

Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
W
W
L
W
L

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
L
W
W

Last game

Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm

Holywell 3 - 5 Caernarfon

Goals scored

13

Top scorer

Zack Clarke

The New Saints

All competitions

W
W
W
W
D
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
W
D
W

Last game

Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm

New Saints 5 - 1 Colwyn Bay

Goals scored

13

Top scorer

Rhys Hughes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.51%. A win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 21.47% and a draw has a probability of 21.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.45%) and 0-1 (8.19%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win is 2-1 (5.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.34%).

Result

Caernarfon Town 21.47% ▲ (+0.06)

Draw 21.02% ▼ (-0.06)

The New Saints 57.51%

Both Teams to Score:

58.28% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.01% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 17.99% ▼ (-0.09)

Over 2.5 61.49% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 2.5 38.51% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 3.5 39.05% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 3.5 60.95% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 4.5 25.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 74.85% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Caernarfon Town 21.11% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 34.58% ▲ (+0.04)

The New Saints 44.31% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Caernarfon Town 34.56% ▲ (+0.06)

No Goal 4.79% ▼ (-0.05)

The New Saints 60.65% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.48% ▲ (+0.01)

Equal 8 11.27%

Under 8 36.25% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 9 41.45% ▲ (+0.02)

Equal 9 11.03%

Under 9 47.52% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 10.5 31.48%

Under 10.5 68.52%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 1.5 27.18% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 72.82% ▼ (-0.09)

Over 2.5 9.86% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 2.5 90.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 3.06%

Under 3.5 96.94%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 83.37% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 0.5 16.63% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 58.29% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 41.71% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 32.73% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 67.27% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 3.5 15.01%

Under 3.5 84.99%

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 21.47%

Draw 21.02%

The New Saints 57.52%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.03)

1-0 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)

3-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 21.47%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.03)

2-2 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.05)

3-3 @ 1.37%

Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 21.02%

The New Saints

1-2 @ 9.72%

0-2 @ 8.45%

0-1 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.04)

1-3 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 3.84%

Other @ 14.81% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 57.52%

Head to Head

Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm

0

4

HT : 0 2

FT The Oval

Paulo Mendes 46'
Dominic Smith 68'
B. Young 68'
Mathew Jones 68'
Caron Williams 86'

Daniel Williams 10'
Ben Clark 12'
Harrison McGahey 46'
Daniel Barton 69'
Leo Smith 69'
Jordan Williams 83'
Daniel Barton 88'

Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Park Hall Stadium

Daniel Redmond 10'
Ben Wilson 58'
Daniel Williams 60'
Isaac Jefferies 75'
Danny Davies 75'

Caron Williams 11'
B. Young 45'+1'
Iwan Lewis 87'

Nov 28, 2025 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Ben Clark 82'
Jordan Williams 90'+5'

Dominic Smith 57'
Connor Roberts 73'

Oct 7, 2025 7.45pm

1

3

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Park Hall Stadium

Ryan Sears 45'+1'
Sion Bradley 90'+4'

Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT The Oval

Gruff John Williams 56'
Sam Downey 65'
90'+6'
Matthew Jones 90'+7'
Matthew Jones 90'+7'

Adam Wilson 21'
Josh Pask 90'+5'

Form Data

Holywell 3 - 5 Caernarfon

Trefelin 0 - 2 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Colwyn Bay

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont

Connah's Quay 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Levadia 5 - 0 Caernarfon

New Saints 5 - 1 Colwyn Bay

Cardiff MU 0 - 5 New Saints

New Saints 1 - 0 Briton Ferry

New Saints 2 - 0 Haverfordwest

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 New Saints

New Saints 1 - 0 Flora