Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Ynys Park
  • Jasper Jones 12' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Osian Evans 8'
  • goal Zack Clarke 36'

Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Trefelin

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 7.45pm
Connah's Quay 6 - 0 Trefelin

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 5.15pm
Caernarfon 3 - 0 Colwyn Bay
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Zack Clarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trefelin win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trefelin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Trefelin 43.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 23.2%
Caernarfon Town 32.89% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.17%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 18.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 60%
Under 2.5 40%
Over 3.5 39.04%
Under 3.5 60.96%
Over 4.5 24.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 75.91% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Trefelin 34.43%
Draw 38.03%
Caernarfon Town 27.55%

Team To Score First

Trefelin 51.6% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.07%
Caernarfon Town 43.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 69.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.94%
Under 8 20.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 58.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 30.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 47.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 52.82% ▼ (-0.01)

Trefelin Goals

Over 1.5 47.69%
Under 1.5 52.31%
Over 2.5 23.15%
Under 2.5 76.85%
Over 3.5 9.72%
Under 3.5 90.28%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 38.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 83.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.16%
Under 3.5 93.84%

Score analysis

Trefelin 43.96%
Draw 23.21%
Caernarfon Town 32.9%
Trefelin
2-1 @ 8.45%
1-0 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 3.22%
Other @ 9.56%
Total : 43.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.21%
Caernarfon Town
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-1 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25%
Other @ 6%
Total : 32.9%