Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 14, 2026 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Joseph Ferguson 14' goal
  • Hussein Mehasseb 19' goal
  • Hussein Mehasseb 54' goal
  • Joseph Ferguson 57' goal
  • Joseph Ferguson 84' goal
  • Harry Franklin 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Dan John 17'
  • yellowcard Kostya Georgievsky 47'
  • yellowcard Jasper Jones 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jordan Davies 56'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Trefelin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
Holywell 1 - 3 Connah's Quay

Trefelin

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
Trefelin 0 - 4 Llandudno

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trefelin win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 38.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trefelin win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.39%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%).

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 38.12% (-0.04)
Draw 21.76% (-0.03)
Trefelin 40.17% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.45% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.13% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 17.87% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 62.32% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 37.68% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 41.16% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 58.84% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 26.8% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 73.2% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Connah's Quay Nomads 31.02% (-0.24)
Draw 37.32% (+0.29)
Trefelin 31.66% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Connah's Quay Nomads 48.2% (-0.11)
No Goal 4.9% (-0.02)
Trefelin 46.9% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 61.12% (+0.80)
Equal 8 11.05% (-0.03)
Under 8 27.83% (-0.78)
Over 9 49.56% (+0.75)
Equal 9 11.56% (+0.06)
Under 9 38.88% (-0.80)
Over 10.5 38.47% (+0.65)
Under 10.5 61.53% (-0.65)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 1.5 42.2% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 57.8% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.61% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 79.39% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.65% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.35% (+0.02)

Trefelin Goals

Over 0.5 72.89% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 27.11% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 45.3% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 54.7% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 22.68% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 77.32% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 10.87% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 89.13% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 38.12%
Draw 21.76%
Trefelin 40.18%
Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 5.16% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.9% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.34% (-0.03)
Total : 38.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73%
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.76%
Trefelin
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.39% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.23% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.89%
Other @ 10.56% (+0.10)
Total : 40.18%