Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 14, 2026 7.45pm
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Trefelin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
Holywell 1 - 3 Connah's Quay

Trefelin

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
Trefelin 0 - 4 Llandudno

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Trefelin win with a probability of 40%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads has a probability of 38.16% and a draw has a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trefelin win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win is 2-1 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.27%).

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 38.16%
Draw 21.79%
Trefelin 40%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.98%
Under 1.5 18.02%
Over 2.5 62.28%
Under 2.5 37.72%
Over 3.5 41%
Under 3.5 59%
Over 4.5 26.69%
Under 4.5 73.31%

First Half Winner

Connah's Quay Nomads 31.25%
Draw 37.04%
Trefelin 31.71%

Team To Score First

Connah's Quay Nomads 48.31%
No Goal 4.92%
Trefelin 46.77%

Corners

Over 8 60.32%
Equal 8 11.08%
Under 8 28.6%
Over 9 48.81%
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 39.68%
Over 10.5 37.83%
Under 10.5 62.17%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 1.5 42.22%
Under 1.5 57.78%
Over 2.5 20.65%
Under 2.5 79.35%
Over 3.5 7.67%
Under 3.5 92.33%

Trefelin Goals

Over 0.5 72.75%
Under 0.5 27.25%
Over 1.5 45.09%
Under 1.5 54.91%
Over 2.5 22.52%
Under 2.5 77.48%
Over 3.5 10.77%
Under 3.5 89.23%

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 38.15%
Draw 21.79%
Trefelin 40%
Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 7.61%
1-0 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 5.11%
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 3.15%
Other @ 7.36%
Total : 38.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 5.73%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.79%
Trefelin
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-1 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.89%
Other @ 10.46%
Total : 40%