Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.