Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT Halkyn Road
  • Ieuan Hewitt 35' goal
  • Mark Winslade 51' yellowcard
  • Thomas Bibby 67' yellowcard
  • goal Hussein Mehasseb 28'
  • goal Harry Franklin 33'
  • goal Hussein Mehasseb 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Michael Stone 57'
  • yellowcard Conor Partridge 61'
  • yellowcard 90'+8'

Holywell vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holywell

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 2.30pm
Cardiff MU 6 - 1 Holywell

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 2.30pm
Connah's Quay 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Holywell had a probability of 38.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Holywell win was 2-1 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Holywell 38.23% (-0.02)
Draw 22.66% (+0.02)
Connah's Quay Nomads 39.11% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.84%
Under 1.5 18.16%
Over 2.5 60.93%
Under 2.5 39.07%
Over 3.5 39.43%
Under 3.5 60.57%
Over 4.5 24.07%
Under 4.5 75.93%

First Half Winner

Holywell 31.42% (+0.02)
Draw 36.72%
Connah's Quay Nomads 31.86%

Team To Score First

Holywell 45.88%
No Goal 4.74%
Connah's Quay Nomads 49.38%

Corners

Over 8 52.77% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 36.29% (+0.01)
Over 9 42.03% (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.74%
Under 9 47.23% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 32.28% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 67.72% (+0.02)

Holywell Goals

Over 1.5 42.59%
Under 1.5 57.41%
Over 2.5 20.22%
Under 2.5 79.78%
Over 3.5 8%
Under 3.5 92%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 72.51%
Under 0.5 27.49%
Over 1.5 43.34%
Under 1.5 56.66%
Over 2.5 20.36%
Under 2.5 79.64%
Over 3.5 8.17%
Under 3.5 91.83%

Score analysis

Holywell 38.23%
Draw 22.66%
Connah's Quay Nomads 39.11%
Holywell
2-1 @ 7.67%
1-0 @ 6.52%
2-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.95%
Other @ 7.89%
Total : 38.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.74%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.66%
Connah's Quay Nomads
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-1 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 4.79%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.79%
Other @ 8.06%
Total : 39.11%