Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
Halkyn Road

Holywell vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holywell

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 2.30pm
Cardiff MU 6 - 1 Holywell

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 2.30pm
Connah's Quay 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Holywell has a probability of 38.24% and a draw has a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Holywell win is 2-1 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.19%).

Result

Holywell 38.24% (+0.17)
Draw 22.65% (+0.08)
Connah's Quay Nomads 39.1% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.36% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.84% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 18.16% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 60.93% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 39.07% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 39.43%
Under 3.5 60.57%
Over 4.5 24.07% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 75.93% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Holywell 31.41% (-0.04)
Draw 36.72% (-0.06)
Connah's Quay Nomads 31.86% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Holywell 45.88% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.74% (+0.04)
Connah's Quay Nomads 49.38% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 52.78% (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.94% (+0.03)
Under 8 36.28% (-0.18)
Over 9 42.04% (+0.11)
Equal 9 10.74% (+0.05)
Under 9 47.22% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 32.29% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 67.71% (-0.07)

Holywell Goals

Over 1.5 42.59% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 57.41% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 20.22% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 79.78% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 8% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 92% (-0.07)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 72.51% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 27.49% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 43.34% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 56.66% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 20.36% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 79.64% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 8.17% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 91.83% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Holywell 38.23%
Draw 22.66%
Connah's Quay Nomads 39.11%
Holywell
2-1 @ 7.67% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 6.52%
2-0 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.95% (+0.04)
Other @ 7.89% (+0.05)
Total : 38.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.16% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.74% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.03)
Total : 22.66%
Connah's Quay Nomads
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.79% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.06% (-0.09)
Total : 39.11%