Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2026 5.15pm
The Oval

Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
Caernarfon 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
Ammanford 2 - 2 Colwyn Bay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 32.29% and a draw has a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win is 2-1 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.09%).

Result

Caernarfon Town 32.29%
Draw 24.59%
Colwyn Bay 43.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.38%
Under 1.5 20.62%
Over 2.5 56.73%
Under 2.5 43.22%
Over 3.5 33.77%
Under 3.5 66.23%
Over 4.5 19.94%
Under 4.5 80.06%

First Half Winner

Caernarfon Town 25.18%
Draw 37.18%
Colwyn Bay 37.65%

Team To Score First

Caernarfon Town 41.84%
No Goal 5.8%
Colwyn Bay 52.36%

Corners

Over 8 65.32%
Equal 8 10.54%
Under 8 24.14%
Over 9 53.91%
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 34.68%
Over 10.5 42.59%
Under 10.5 57.41%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 1.5 36%
Under 1.5 64%
Over 2.5 14.24%
Under 2.5 85.76%
Over 3.5 4.67%
Under 3.5 95.33%

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 0.5 75.33%
Under 0.5 24.67%
Over 1.5 45.76%
Under 1.5 54.24%
Over 2.5 21.11%
Under 2.5 78.89%
Over 3.5 8.29%
Under 3.5 91.71%

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 32.3%
Draw 24.59%
Colwyn Bay 43.11%
Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 7.59%
1-0 @ 7.06%
2-0 @ 4.98%
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.34%
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 32.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.59%
Colwyn Bay
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-1 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 6.58%
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.06%
Other @ 8.11%
Total : 43.11%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Apr 3, 2026 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Llanelian Road
  • Aron Williams 64' yellowcard
  • Jamie Cumming 64' yellowcard
  • Sam Hart 86' yellowcard
  • Nathan Peate 86' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Astles 56' (OG)
  • goal Zack Clarke 69'
  • yellowcard Adam Davies 70'
  • yellowcard Rio Lloyd Owen 70'
  • yellowcard B. Young 72'
Welsh Premier League
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Oval
  • B. Young 22' goal
  • B. Young 68' goal
  • Iwan Lewis 73' yellowcard
  • Zack Clarke 73' yellowcard
  • Danny Gossett 80' goal
  • Joshua Lock 84' yellowcard
  • Adam Davies 84' yellowcard
  • Caron Williams 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Hill 64'
  • yellowcard Jamie Cumming 79'
  • yellowcard Lewis Sirrell 89'
  • yellowcard Aaron Williams 90'
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 90'+1'
Welsh Premier League
Dec 27, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Phil Mooney 44' yellowcard
  • Iwan Lewis 45' yellowcard
  • Sion Bradley 68' goal
  • goal Nathan Peate 15'
  • goal Jamie Cumming 64'
  • yellowcard Louis Robles 67'
  • yellowcard Nathan Peate 67'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 4, 2025 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2023 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
  • Danny Gosset 39' yellowcard
  • Marc Williams 61' goal
  • Zack Clarke 73' goal
  • yellowcard Tom McCready 33'
  • goal Tom McCready 81'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 5.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Llanelian Road
  • Lewis Sirrell 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Gosset 7'
  • yellowcard Dion Donohue 32'
  • goal Darren Thomas 36'
  • yellowcard Darren Thomas 39'
  • yellowcard Phil Mooney 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Sion Bradley 57'
  • goal Adam Davies 61'
  • goal Zack Clarke 66'
  • goal Adam Davies 71'
  • yellowcard Louis Lloyd 89'
  • yellowcard Louis Lloyd 89'