Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Park Hall Stadium

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff MU 0 - 5 New Saints
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Rhys Hughes

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Colwyn Bay 1 - 0 Airbus UK
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Adam Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 72.73%. A draw has a probability of 15.45% and a win for Colwyn Bay has a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.42%) , while for a Colwyn Bay win it is 0-1 (3.43%).

Result

The New Saints 72.73% (-0.13)
Draw 15.45% (+0.06)
Colwyn Bay 11.87% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.26% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.79% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 17.21% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 62.05% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 37.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 40% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 60% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 27.99% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 72.01% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

The New Saints 49.48% (-0.06)
Draw 34.73% (+0.04)
Colwyn Bay 15.79% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

The New Saints 70.35% (-0.04)
No Goal 3.66%
Colwyn Bay 25.99% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.63% (+0.41)
Equal 8 10.45% (+0.01)
Under 8 30.92% (-0.41)
Over 9 47.9% (+0.37)
Equal 9 10.73% (+0.05)
Under 9 41.37% (-0.41)
Over 10.5 37.72% (+0.33)
Under 10.5 62.28% (-0.33)

The New Saints Goals

Over 1.5 68.09% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 31.91% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 41.38% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.62% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.41% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 78.59% (+0.08)

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 0.5 44.48% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 55.52% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 16.47% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 83.53% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 4.44% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 95.56% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.08% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.92% (-0.02)

Score analysis

The New Saints 72.73%
Draw 15.47%
Colwyn Bay 11.88%
The New Saints
2-0 @ 11.88% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.99% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.46% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.17% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.63% (+0.03)
Other @ 21.4% (-0.09)
Total : 72.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.42% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.67% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 15.47%
Colwyn Bay
0-1 @ 3.43% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.32% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.41% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.07% (+0.03)
Total : 11.88%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Bryn Owen 30' yellowcard
  • Jack Nadin 68' yellowcard
  • Daniel Redmond 68' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Sirrell 24'
  • goal Jordan Davies 34'
  • yellowcard Louis Robles 59'
  • yellowcard Aeron Edwards 77'
  • yellowcard Ethan Roberts 77'
Welsh Premier League
Feb 13, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Llanelian Road
  • Jamie Cumming 83' yellowcard
  • Sam Hart 84' yellowcard
  • Aaron Williams 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Williams 53'
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Marshall 71'
  • yellowcard Ken Charles 87'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Jordan Williams 2' goal
  • Adrian Cieslewicz 72' yellowcard
  • Adrian Cieslewicz 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Hill 58'
  • yellowcard Matty Hill 58'
  • yellowcard Issa Kargbo 77'
Welsh Premier League
Aug 25, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 31, 2023 7.45pm
6
1
HT : 1 1
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Jordan Williams 14' goal
  • Brad Young 46' yellowcard
  • Adrian Cieslewicz 52' goal
  • Brad Young 54' goal
  • Adrian Cieslewicz 63' goal
  • Ryan Brobbel 68' goal
  • Daniel Redmond 86' goal
  • goal Sam Turner 33'
  • yellowcard Sam Downey 35'
  • yellowcard Tom Creamer 90'+1'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Llanelian Road
  • Sam Turner 33' yellowcard
  • Guto Williams 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Adrian Cieslewicz 54'
  • yellowcard Ryan Astles 90'+7'