Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Joshua Lock 26' goal
  • Joshua Lock 38' goal
  • Rhys Hughes 42' goal
  • Jordan Williams 50' goal
  • Dominic Corness 55' goal
  • Daniel Williams 86' yellowcard
  • goal Nathan Peate 62'
  • yellowcard Nathan Peate 67'

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff MU 0 - 5 New Saints
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Rhys Hughes

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Colwyn Bay 1 - 0 Airbus UK
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Adam Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 72.73%. A draw had a probability of 15.45% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%) , while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 0-1 (3.43%).

Result

The New Saints 72.73% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 15.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Colwyn Bay 11.87% ▲ (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.26% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 17.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 62.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 37.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 40% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 60% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 27.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 72.01% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

The New Saints 49.48% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 34.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Colwyn Bay 15.79% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

The New Saints 70.35% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 3.66%
Colwyn Bay 25.99% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.63% ▲ (+0.41)
Equal 8 10.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 30.92% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 9 47.9% ▲ (+0.37)
Equal 9 10.73% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 41.37% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 10.5 37.72% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 10.5 62.28% ▼ (-0.33)

The New Saints Goals

Over 1.5 68.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 31.91% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 41.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.41% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 78.59% ▲ (+0.08)

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 0.5 44.48% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 0.5 55.52% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 1.5 16.47% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 83.53% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 4.44% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 95.56% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.92% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

The New Saints 72.73%
Draw 15.47%
Colwyn Bay 11.88%
The New Saints
2-0 @ 11.88% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 21.4% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 72.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 15.47%
Colwyn Bay
0-1 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 11.88%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Bryn Owen 30' yellowcard
  • Jack Nadin 68' yellowcard
  • Daniel Redmond 68' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Sirrell 24'
  • goal Jordan Davies 34'
  • yellowcard Louis Robles 59'
  • yellowcard Aeron Edwards 77'
  • yellowcard Ethan Roberts 77'
Welsh Premier League
Feb 13, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Llanelian Road
  • Jamie Cumming 83' yellowcard
  • Sam Hart 84' yellowcard
  • Aaron Williams 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Williams 53'
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Marshall 71'
  • yellowcard Ken Charles 87'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Jordan Williams 2' goal
  • Adrian Cieslewicz 72' yellowcard
  • Adrian Cieslewicz 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Hill 58'
  • yellowcard Matty Hill 58'
  • yellowcard Issa Kargbo 77'
Welsh Premier League
Aug 25, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 31, 2023 7.45pm
6
1
HT : 1 1
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Jordan Williams 14' goal
  • Brad Young 46' yellowcard
  • Adrian Cieslewicz 52' goal
  • Brad Young 54' goal
  • Adrian Cieslewicz 63' goal
  • Ryan Brobbel 68' goal
  • Daniel Redmond 86' goal
  • goal Sam Turner 33'
  • yellowcard Sam Downey 35'
  • yellowcard Tom Creamer 90'+1'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Llanelian Road
  • Sam Turner 33' yellowcard
  • Guto Williams 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Adrian Cieslewicz 54'
  • yellowcard Ryan Astles 90'+7'