Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
Barry 1 - 0 Cardiff MU

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 7.45pm
New Saints 1 - 0 Briton Ferry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Cardiff MU has a probability of 29.68% and a draw has a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win is 1-0 (6.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.53%).

Result

Cardiff MU 29.68% (-0.02)
Draw 23.72%
The New Saints 46.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.48% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.52% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.52%
Under 2.5 43.48%
Over 3.5 34.75%
Under 3.5 65.25%
Over 4.5 20.78% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.22% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Cardiff MU 25.63% (-0.02)
Draw 38.94% (+0.01)
The New Saints 35.43%

Team To Score First

Cardiff MU 39.87%
No Goal 6.06%
The New Saints 54.07%

Corners

Over 8 55.93%
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 32.71%
Over 9 44.53%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 44.07%
Over 10.5 34.02%
Under 10.5 65.98%

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 1.5 33.1%
Under 1.5 66.9%
Over 2.5 13.24%
Under 2.5 86.76%
Over 3.5 4.39%
Under 3.5 95.61%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 76.69% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.31% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.82% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.18% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.25% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.75% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.44% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.56% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Cardiff MU 29.68%
Draw 23.72%
The New Saints 46.61%
Cardiff MU
1-0 @ 6.95%
2-1 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 4.22%
3-1 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 29.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 6.06%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.72%
The New Saints
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-1 @ 8.52%
0-2 @ 7.2%
1-3 @ 5.08%
0-3 @ 4.24%
2-3 @ 3.24%
Other @ 9.3% (+0.02)
Total : 46.61%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Nov 7, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Mar 22, 2025 2.30pm
0
6
HT : 0 2
FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
  • Jac Clay 48' yellowcard
  • Chris Craven 77' yellowcard
  • Lewis Rees 86' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Wilson 4'
  • goal Adam Wilson 34'
  • goal Aramide Oteh 50'
  • goal Adam Wilson 52'
  • goal Zack Clarke 66'
  • goal Louis Phillips 78'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Feb 1, 2025 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Adam Wilson 2' goal
  • Daniel Redmond 50' yellowcard
  • Aramide Oteh 53' goal
  • Ryan Brobbel 55' yellowcard
  • Daniel Davies 69' goal
  • goal Eliot Evans 16'
  • yellowcard Matt Clubb 54'
  • yellowcard 88'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
  • Sam Jones 36' yellowcard
  • goal Aramide Oteh 40'
  • goal Jac Clay 89' (OG)
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Evan Cadwallader 3' goal
  • Daniel Davies 21' goal
  • Aramide Oteh 63' goal