Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-0 (9.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.