Welsh Premier League
Mar 28, 2026 2.30pm
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU vs Bala Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
Llanelli 1 - 2 Cardiff MU
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Lifumpa Mwandwe

Bala Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.15pm
Bala Town 1 - 0 Haverfordwest
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Cameron Ferguson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Bala Town has a probability of 25.7% and a draw has a probability of 25.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Bala Town win is 0-1 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.57%).

Result

Cardiff MU 49.22%
Draw 25.08%
Bala Town 25.7%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.06% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.94% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.54% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 48.46% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 28.82%
Under 3.5 71.18%
Over 4.5 16.49% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.51% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Cardiff MU 32.88%
Draw 41.78%
Bala Town 25.34%

Team To Score First

Cardiff MU 55.88%
No Goal 7.08%
Bala Town 37.04%

Corners

Over 8 53.82% (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.92%
Under 8 34.26% (-0.13)
Over 9 42.04% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.02)
Under 9 46.18% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 31.37% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 68.63% (-0.10)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 1.5 46.63% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 53.37% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 21.73% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.27% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 7.84% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.16% (+0.01)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.48% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 38.52% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.02% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.98% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.38% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.62% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3%
Under 3.5 97%

Score analysis

Cardiff MU 49.22%
Draw 25.08%
Bala Town 25.7%
Cardiff MU
1-0 @ 10.7% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.75% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-0 @ 4.8% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.7% (-0.01)
Total : 49.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.08%
Bala Town
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.66% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 25.7%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Feb 7, 2026 2.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Maes Tegid
  • Cameron Ferguson 32' goal
  • Connor Salisbury 68' yellowcard
  • Hussein Mehasseb 80' yellowcard
  • John Owen 80' yellowcard
  • Thomas Kelly 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dixon Kabongo 45'+4'
  • goal Lifumpa Mwandwe 57'
  • yellowcard Lewis Rees 64'
  • yellowcard Brogan Popham 75'
  • yellowcard Liam Walsh 80'
Welsh Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Olamide Ibrahim 7' yellowcard
  • Ola Ibrahim 7' yellowcard
  • Harry Dean 17' goal
  • John Owen 52' goal
  • Olamide Ibrahim 60' yellowcard
  • Ola Ibrahim 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Edwards 19'
  • goal Lewis Rees 23'
  • goal Matt Clubb 32'
  • yellowcard Matt Clubb 70'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 4, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Apr 26, 2025 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
  • Chris Craven 48' yellowcard
  • Ryan Reynolds 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Malkin 32'
  • yellowcard Liam Higgins 68'
  • yellowcard Ross White 85'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Mar 29, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Maes Tegid
  • Dan Malone 73' yellowcard
  • Dan Malone 83' redcard
  • yellowcard Chris Craven 45'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
  • Eliot Evans 6' goal
  • Joel Edwards 22' yellowcard
  • Gruff Morgan 41' yellowcard
  • Ryan Reynolds 49' goal
  • Adam Roscrow 85' yellowcard
  • goal George Newell 47'
  • yellowcard Joe Malkin 85'