Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.