Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jenner Park
  • D. Smith 81' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Jones 26'

Barry Town United vs Cardiff MU - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
Flint Town 2 - 3 Barry

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
Airbus UK 0 - 2 Cardiff MU

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%) , while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result

Barry Town United 49.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 26.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Cardiff MU 23.41%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.12% ▼ (-0.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.34% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 30.66% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 2.5 43.75% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 2.5 56.25% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 3.5 22.59% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 3.5 77.41% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 12.27% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 4.5 87.73% ▲ (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Barry Town United 35.74% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 43.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Cardiff MU 20.35% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Barry Town United 54.26% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 9.27% ▲ (+0.12)
Cardiff MU 36.47% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 45.8% ▼ (-0.16)
Equal 8 12.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 42.08% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 9 34.56% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 54.2% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 10.5 24.96% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 10.5 75.04% ▲ (+0.14)

Barry Town United Goals

Over 1.5 42.84% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 57.16% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 18.32% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 81.68% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 6.39% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 93.61% ▲ (+0.13)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5 56.98% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 43.02% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 22.41% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 77.59% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 6.7% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 93.3% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 1.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.32% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Barry Town United 49.98%
Draw 26.6%
Cardiff MU 23.4%
Barry Town United
1-0 @ 13.3% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 49.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.6%
Cardiff MU
0-1 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 23.4%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Dec 26, 2025 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • 29' yellowcard
  • Daniel Barton 29' yellowcard
  • Robbie Willmott 32' goal
  • 45' yellowcard
  • Ieuan Gwyn Owen 45' yellowcard
  • Ieuan Gwyn Owen 79' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Reynolds 11'
Welsh Premier League
Aug 25, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Jenner Park
  • Ryan Kavanagh 15' yellowcard
  • Keenan Patten 44' yellowcard
  • Evan Press 47' goal
  • Ryan Kavanagh 54' goal
  • Callum Sainty 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Reynolds 43'
  • yellowcard Tom Vincent 70'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
  • Ryan Reynolds 2' goal
  • S 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lewis Rees 74' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Snaith 55'
  • yellowcard Evan Press 57'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jenner Park
  • Mike George 44' yellowcard
  • Jamie Veale 44' yellowcard
  • Rhys Davies 59' yellowcard
  • Luc Rees 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Price 26'
  • yellowcard Emlyn Lewis 32'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
  • Eliot Evans 47' goal
  • Harry Owen 54' goal
  • Tom Vincent 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harrison Bright 83'
  • goal Callum Huggins 90'+3'