Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
3
5
HT : 1 3
FT Halkyn Road
  • Fabrizio Murtas 45'+1' goal
  • Caio Hughes 53' goal
  • Florian Yonsian 64' goal
  • goal Sion Bradley 13'
  • goal Zack Clarke 35'
  • goal Zack Clarke 45'+2'
  • goal Zack Clarke 54'
  • goal Noah Edwards 72'

Holywell vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holywell

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Holywell 1 - 3 Barry
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Florian Yonsian

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Trefelin 0 - 2 Caernarfon
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Zack Clarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Holywell had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Holywell win was 2-1 (6.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%).

Result

Holywell 27.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 23.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Caernarfon Town 49.61% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 17.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 39% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 61% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 24.34% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 75.66% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Holywell 25.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 36.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Caernarfon Town 38.4% ▼ (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Holywell 40.74% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Caernarfon Town 54.63% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 63.02%
Equal 8 11.21% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 25.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 51.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.94% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 36.98%
Over 10.5 39.49% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 60.51% ▲ (+0.09)

Holywell Goals

Over 1.5 34.46% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 65.54% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.54% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.46% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.84% ▼ (-0.04)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.24%
Under 1.5 47.76%
Over 2.5 26.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 73.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 10.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.33% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Holywell 27.38%
Draw 23.01%
Caernarfon Town 49.61%
Holywell
2-1 @ 6.21%
1-0 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.87%
3-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.01%
Caernarfon Town
1-2 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.57%
0-3 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.57%
Other @ 10.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 49.61%