Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Halkyn Road

Holywell vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holywell

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Holywell 1 - 3 Barry
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Jack Sconce

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Trefelin 0 - 2 Caernarfon
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Zack Clarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Holywell has a probability of 27.37% and a draw has a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Holywell win is 2-1 (6.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.48%).

Result

Holywell 27.37% (+0.05)
Draw 23.01% (-0.01)
Caernarfon Town 49.61% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.12% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.18% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 17.82% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.79% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.21% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 39% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 61% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 24.34% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 75.66% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Holywell 25.27% (+0.06)
Draw 36.33% (+0.08)
Caernarfon Town 38.4% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Holywell 40.74% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.63% (-0.01)
Caernarfon Town 54.63% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 63.02%
Equal 8 11.21% (+0.05)
Under 8 25.77% (-0.04)
Over 9 51.08% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.94% (+0.05)
Under 9 36.98%
Over 10.5 39.49% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 60.51% (+0.09)

Holywell Goals

Over 1.5 34.46% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 65.54% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.54% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.46% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.16% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.84% (-0.04)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.56% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.44% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.24%
Under 1.5 47.76%
Over 2.5 26.9% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 73.1% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 10.67% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.33% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Holywell 27.38%
Draw 23.01%
Caernarfon Town 49.61%
Holywell
2-1 @ 6.21%
1-0 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.87%
3-1 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 5.05% (+0.02)
Total : 27.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 23.01%
Caernarfon Town
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.57%
0-3 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.57%
Other @ 10.56% (+0.03)
Total : 49.61%