UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Wales
1 - 0
Montenegro

Wilson (36' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jovetic (49'), Vukcevic (52'), Bakic (58'), Sipcic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Wales and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Iceland 2-2 Wales
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Montenegro

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Turkey 1-0 Montenegro
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wales in this match.

Result
Wales	Draw	Montenegro
54.15% ( -0.05)	25.07% ( -0.01)	20.78% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 46.75% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

0.08)

54.92% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79% (

0.07)

76.21% (

-0.07)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73% (

0.01)

20.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38% (

0.02)

52.62% (

-0.02)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.63% (

0.1)

41.36% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.12% (

0.09)

77.88% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Wales 54.14%

Montenegro 20.78%

Draw 25.07%

Wales	Draw	Montenegro
1-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 54.14%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.78%