Wales vs Montenegro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wales in this match.