Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2

Jun 1, 2025 at 7pm UK

Estadio Centenario del Club Atletico Sarmiento

Torque
1 - 2
Nacional

Busquets (25')
Diogo Guzman (33'), Busquets (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Otero (64'), Petit Abad (74')
Rodriguez (36'), Baez (39'), Mereles de la Quintana (88')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions

Last Game: Juventud 3-2 Torque
Saturday, May 24 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Nacional

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Wednesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Nacional
28.81% ( -0.05)	25.69% ( 0)	45.5% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.03% (

-0.04)

50.97% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.16% (

-0.04)

72.84% (

0.03)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.93% (

-0.06)

32.06% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.46% (

-0.07)

68.54% (

0.07)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.63% (

0.01)

22.37% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.14% (

0.02)

55.86% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Montevideo City Torque 28.81%

Nacional 45.5%

Draw 25.68%

Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.81%	1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.5%