Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.75% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%) , while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.