World Cup Gameweek 2
Turkey
Jun 20, 2026 4.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Paraguay
  • Vincenzo Montella 63' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Montella 63' yellowcard
  • Eren Elmalı 63' yellowcard
  • Eren Elmalı 71' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • goal Matías Galarza Fonda 2'
  • yellowcard Matías Galarza Fonda 4'
  • redcard Miguel Almirón 45'+3'

Turkey vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 14, 2026 5.00am
Australia 2 - 0 Turkey

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 13, 2026 2.00am
USA 4 - 1 Paraguay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.75% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%) , while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Turkey 52.9%
Draw 23.75%
Paraguay 23.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.95% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.8% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 23.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 53% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 47% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 30.85%
Under 3.5 69.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 17.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.11% ▲ (+0.02)

Turkey Goals

Over 1.5 50.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 49.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 24.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 75.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.75% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.25% ▲ (+0.04)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 59.3%
Under 0.5 40.7%
Over 1.5 26.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 73.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Turkey 52.89%
Draw 23.75%
Paraguay 23.36%
Turkey
1-0 @ 10.59% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 52.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.75%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 23.36%

Form Data

Australia 2 - 0 Turkey
Venezuela 1 - 2 Turkey
Turkey 4 - 0 N. Macedonia
Kosovo 0 - 1 Turkey
Turkey 1 - 0 Romania
Spain 2 - 2 Turkey
USA 4 - 1 Paraguay
Paraguay 4 - 0 Nicaragua
Morocco 2 - 1 Paraguay
Greece 0 - 1 Paraguay
Mexico 1 - 2 Paraguay
USA 2 - 1 Paraguay

Build-up

How to watch
Head to head
Predicted Lineups