Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%).