Benfica
Taca de Portugal | Final
May 25, 2025 at 5.15pm UK
Estadio Nacional
Sporting Lisbon

Benfica
1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Kokcu (47')
Dahl (19'), Fernandez (53'), Kokcu (65'), Jumpe Soares (114')
FT
(aet)
Gyokeres (90+11' pen.), Harder (99'), Trincao (120+1')
Harder (78'), Araujo (86'), Hjulmand (90+2'), Tcherno Quenda (101')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Taca de Portugal clash between Benfica and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Benfica
Saturday, May 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%).

Result
BenficaDrawSporting Lisbon
48.47% (-1.963 -1.96)24.36% (0.145 0.15)27.17% (1.818 1.82)
Both teams to score 55.83% (1.172 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64% (0.777 0.78)46.36% (-0.778 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (0.729 0.73)68.64% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.48299999999999 -0.48)19.2% (0.483 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (-0.803 -0.8)50.88% (0.803 0.8)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (1.852 1.85)30.9% (-1.852 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (2.118 2.12)67.19% (-2.117 -2.12)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 48.47%
    Sporting Lisbon 27.17%
    Draw 24.35%
BenficaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.479 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.08% (-0.528 -0.53)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 48.47%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.209 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.352 0.35)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.272 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.262 0.26)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.186 0.19)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.18 0.18)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.17%

How you voted: Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon

Benfica
45.1%
Draw
28.2%
Sporting Lisbon
26.8%
71
Head to Head
May 10, 2025 6pm
Gameweek 33
Benfica
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Akturkoglu (63')
Otamendi (15'), Luis (60'), Akturkoglu (70'), Kokcu (90+3')
Trincao (4')
Hjulmand (19'), Silva (54')
Esgaio (90+8')
> Preview
Jan 11, 2025 7.45pm
Final
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Benfica
(Aggregate 1-1 | Benfica win 7-6 on penalties)
Gyokeres (42' pen.)
Araujo (45')
Schjelderup (29')
Fernandez (58')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 16
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Benfica
Catamo (29')
Reis (59'), Israel (63')

Otamendi (34'), Bah (58'), Araujo (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Catamo (1', 90+1')
Catamo (4'), Santos (5'), Hjulmand (27'), Paulinho (90+6')
Bah (45+3')
Otamendi (27'), Neres (39'), Bah (45+1'), Tengstedt (74'), Aursnes (86'), Silva (90+9')
Aursnes (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Benfica
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Otamendi (52'), Silva (64')
di Maria (45+3'), Schmidt (90+7')
Hjulmand (47'), Paulinho (55')
Inacio (49'), Morita (72'), Israel (77'), Edwards (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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