Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Canada had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 29.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (11.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.