Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Strawberry Arena
  • Alexander Isak 20' goal
  • Viktor Gyökeres 43' goal
  • goal Dennis Man 29'
  • yellowcard Răzvan Marin 37'
  • yellowcard Virgil Ghiță  45'+2'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Screciu 83'
  • yellowcard Dennis Man 86'
  • yellowcard Andrei Coubiș 90'+1'

Sweden vs Romania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

Romania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Romania had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Romania win was 1-2 (6.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Sweden 50.92% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 24.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Romania 24.93% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.9% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 21.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 43.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 34.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 20.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.17% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Sweden 35.09% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 42.08% ▲ (+0.27)
Romania 22.84% ▼ (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Sweden 53.78% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Romania 40.24% ▼ (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 60.69% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 8 10.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 28.62% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 49.56% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 9 11.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 39.31% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 10.5 38.86% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 10.5 61.14% ▼ (-0.19)

Sweden Goals

Over 1.5 50.54% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 49.46% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 2.5 25.97% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 74.03% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 10.66% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 89.34% ▼ (-0.08)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5 60.88% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 39.12% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 29.37% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 70.63% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 2.5 10.9% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 89.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 3.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.25% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Sweden 50.92%
Draw 24.17%
Romania 24.93%
Sweden
1-0 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.41% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 50.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.17%
Romania
1-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.93%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 15, 2019 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Nicolae Stanciu 23' yellowcard
  • Nicusor Bancu 55' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Berg 18'
  • goal Robin Quaison 34'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 50'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 23, 2019 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Robin Quaison 33' goal
  • Viktor Claesson 40' goal
  • Gustav Svensson 90' yellowcard
  • Emil Krafth 90' yellowcard
  • goal Claudiu Keseru 58'
  • yellowcard Dragos Grigore 72'
  • yellowcard Ianis Hagi 79'
  • yellowcard Cristian Sapunaru 82'
International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2018 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)
  • Dorin Rotariu 57' goal
  • Claudiu Keseru 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jimmy Durmaz 65'