Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Romania had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (8.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.