Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Romania had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.