Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Kosovo had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Kosovo win was 0-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%).