International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026 6.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadionul Steaua, Bucuresti
  • Florinel Coman 52' goal
  • Adrian Rus 80' goal
  • Adrian Rus 87' yellowcard
  • goal David Brooks 63'
  • yellowcard David Brooks 79'

Romania vs Wales - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 2, 2026 6.00pm
Georgia 1 - 1 Romania

Wales

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 2, 2026 7.45pm
Wales 1 - 1 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.39% and a win for Wales had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Romania 50.84% ▼ (-0.26)
Draw 25.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Wales 23.77% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.5% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.83% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 28.17% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 47.04% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 52.96% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 26.07% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 73.93% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 15.02% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.98% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Romania 37.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 38.88% ▼ (-0.09)
Wales 23.46% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Romania 52.9% ▼ (-0.17)
No Goal 8.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Wales 38.74% ▲ (+0.14)

Corners

Over 8 56.33% ▲ (+0.23)
Equal 8 11.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 32.34% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 9 44.92% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 43.67% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 10.5 34.35% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 10.5 65.65% ▼ (-0.21)

Romania Goals

Over 1.5 45.25% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 1.5 54.75% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 2.5 20.3% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 79.7% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 7.65% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 92.35% ▲ (+0.11)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5 57.52% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 42.48% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 24.38% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 75.62% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 7.95% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 92.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.68% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Romania 50.84%
Draw 25.4%
Wales 23.78%
Romania
1-0 @ 12.51% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.65%
Other @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 50.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.4%
Wales
0-1 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 23.78%

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