/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fswelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
-
Benjamin Nygren
8'
-
Daniel Svensson
19'
-
Yasin Ayari
63'
-
Viktor Gyökeres
72'
-
Tymoteusz Puchacz
35'
-
Sebastian Szymanski
43'
-
Piotr Zielinski
58'
-
Robert Lewandowski
90'+2'
Sweden vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Poland had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-2 (6.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result
Sweden
52.39%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
23.06%
Poland
24.55%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
60.67%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.77%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
18.23%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
61.1%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
38.9%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
38.87%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
61.13%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
24.69%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
75.31%
▲
(+0.05)
First Half Winner
Sweden
40.19%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
38.63%
▲
(+0.18)
Poland
21.18%
▼
(-0.09)
Team To Score First
Sweden
59.6%
▲
(+0.15)
No Goal
4.9%
▲
(+0.02)
Poland
35.5%
▼
(-0.15)
Corners
Over 8
59.35%
▼
(-0.11)
Equal 8
11.98%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
28.67%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 9
46.96%
▼
(-0.11)
Equal 9
12.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
40.65%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 10.5
35.31%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 10.5
64.69%
▲
(+0.11)
Sweden Goals
Over 1.5
54.39%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
45.61%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 2.5
29.57%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
70.43%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
13.08%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
86.92%
▼
(-0.07)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
62.28%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
37.72%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
31%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
69%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 2.5
12.07%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
87.93%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
4.14%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
95.86%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Sweden
52.39%
Draw
23.04%
Poland
24.54%
Sweden
2-1
@
9.76%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 12.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 52.39%
1-0 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 12.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 52.39%
Draw
1-1
@
10.33%
2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 23.04%
2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 23.04%
Poland
1-2
@
6.18%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 24.54%
Head to Head
-
Anthony Elanga
19'
-
Gustaf Lagerbielke
44'
-
Besfort Zeneli
69'
-
Lucas Bergvall
69'
-
Gustav Lundgren
81'
-
Viktor Gyökeres
88'
-
Mattias Svanberg
90'+2'
-
Nicola Zalewski
33'
-
Karol Świderski
55'
-
Oskar Pietuszewski
63'
-
Kamil Grosicki
90'+1'
-
Krzysztof Piatek
90'+2'