Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 45.11%. A draw had a probability of 29.23% and a win for Bari had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.56%) , while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.