Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 0-1 (9.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.