Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 42.01%. A draw had a probability of 29.44% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 28.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.57%) , while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.