Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 36.15%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 0-1 (11.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.