Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (10.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.