Serie A Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 5.00pm
AC Milan 3 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Adrien Rabiot

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 5.00pm
Bologna 1 - 3 Inter Milan
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Lautaro Martínez 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for AC Milan has a probability of 32.6% and a draw has a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 2-1 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.44%).

Result

AC Milan 32.6% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 24.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Inter Milan 42.93% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.81% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 23.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 52.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 47.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 29.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 70.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.98% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

AC Milan 30.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 38.63%
Inter Milan 30.42% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

AC Milan 49.93% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 6.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Inter Milan 43.75% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 44.12% ▲ (+0.55)
Equal 8 12.11% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 8 43.77% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 9 33.06% ▲ (+0.33)
Equal 9 11.06% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 9 55.88% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 10.5 23.75% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 10.5 76.25% ▼ (-0.10)

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 34.38% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 65.62% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 13.39% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 86.61% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.69% ▲ (+0.04)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 74.72% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 42.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 57.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 18.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

AC Milan 32.58%
Draw 24.48%
Inter Milan 42.94%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 32.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.48%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.72%
Other @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 42.94%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Aug 5, 2026 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Optus Stadium
  • Christopher Nkunku 84' goal
  • Pervis Estupiñán 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yann Bisseck 36'
  • goal Federico Dimarco 52'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Pervis Estupiñán 35' goal
  • Niclas Füllkrug 73' yellowcard
  • Samuele Ricci 73' yellowcard
  • Samuele Ricci 74' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 59'
  • yellowcard Petar Sučić 59'
  • yellowcard Davide Frattesi 68'
  • yellowcard Carlos Augusto 68'
  • yellowcard Andy Diouf 80'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Nov 23, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Coppa Italia
Apr 23, 2025 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 71' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Jovic 36'
  • goal Luka Jovic 50'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 85'
Coppa Italia
Apr 2, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Theo Hernandez 19' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 47' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesco Acerbi 53'
  • yellowcard Yann Aurel Bisseck 58'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 67'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Tijjani Reijnders 45' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 53'
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 61'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 90'+3'