Serie A Gameweek 6
Oct 10, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 5.00pm
Roma 2 - 2 Inter Milan
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Lautaro Martínez 

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 2.00pm
Parma 2 - 1 Genoa
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
David Romero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 76.77%. A draw has a probability of 15.65% and a win for Parma has a probability of 7.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.35%) and 3-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.12%) , while for a Parma win it is 0-1 (3.18%).

Result

Inter Milan 76.77% ▼ (-2.05)
Draw 15.65% ▲ (+1.16)
Parma 7.6% ▲ (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.49% ▲ (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.07% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 1.5 20.93% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 2.5 57.34% ▼ (-1.64)
Under 2.5 42.66% ▲ (+1.64)
Over 3.5 36.46% ▼ (-1.72)
Under 3.5 63.54% ▲ (+1.72)
Over 4.5 26.47% ▼ (-2.61)
Under 4.5 73.53% ▲ (+2.60)

First Half Winner

Inter Milan 66.27% ▼ (-2.15)
Draw 26.33% ▲ (+0.37)
Parma 7.4% ▲ (+1.78)

Team To Score First

Inter Milan 78.84% ▼ (-2.54)
No Goal 5.44% ▲ (+0.30)
Parma 15.72% ▲ (+2.25)

Corners

Over 8 74.26% ▼ (-0.87)
Equal 8 9.02% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 8 16.72% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 9 63.69% ▼ (-0.94)
Equal 9 10.58% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 9 25.73% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 10.5 52.38% ▼ (-0.92)
Under 10.5 47.62% ▲ (+0.92)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 1.5 68.08% ▼ (-1.69)
Under 1.5 31.92% ▲ (+1.70)
Over 2.5 42.76% ▼ (-2.72)
Under 2.5 57.24% ▲ (+2.72)
Over 3.5 22.73% ▼ (-3.24)
Under 3.5 77.27% ▲ (+3.23)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 35.68% ▲ (+2.93)
Under 0.5 64.32% ▼ (-2.93)
Over 1.5 9.91% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 1.5 90.09% ▼ (-1.08)
Over 2.5 1.93% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 2.5 98.07% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 3.5 0.44% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 99.56% ▼ (-0.24)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 76.77%
Draw 15.65%
Parma 7.62%
Inter Milan
2-0 @ 13.57% ▲ (+0.32)
1-0 @ 12.35% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 10.33% ▼ (-0.40)
2-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.45)
3-1 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.62)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 22.67% ▼ (-3.28)
Total : 76.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.49)
0-0 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 15.65%
Parma
0-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.32)
1-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.38% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 7.62%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 35
May 3, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marcus Thuram 45'+1' goal
  • Ange-Yoan Bonny 46' yellowcard
  • 66' yellowcard
  • Carlos Augusto 66' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 67' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martínez 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Carlos Augusto 67' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 80' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Christian Ordóñez 67'
  • yellowcard Nesta Elphege 67'
  • yellowcard Pontus Almqvist 75'
  • yellowcard Oliver Sørensen 75'
  • yellowcard Franco Carboni 85'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 5, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Pontus Almqvist 28' yellowcard
  • Adrian Bernabe 60' goal
  • Jacob Ondrejka 69' goal
  • Enrico Del Prato 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Matteo Darmian 15'
  • goal Marcus Thuram 45'
  • yellowcard Federico Dimarco 57'
  • yellowcard Nicola Zalewski 89'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2024 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Federico Dimarco 40' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 53' goal
  • Federico Dimarco 64' yellowcard
  • Marcus Thuram 66' goal
  • yellowcard Mandela Keita 10'
  • goal Matteo Darmian 81' (OG)
Coppa Italia
Jan 10, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
ET Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 88' goal
  • Francesco Acerbi 110' goal
  • goal Stanko Juric 38'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Mar 4, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hernani 71' goal
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 54'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 62'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 90'+2'