Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Dominik Drobnic 9' yellowcard
  • David Romero 38' goal
  • Pontus Almqvist 80' goal
  • Enrico Delprato  85' yellowcard
  • Mariano Troilo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Otoa 14'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Marcandalli 44'
  • goal Milutin Osmajic 70'
  • yellowcard Mikael Egill Ellertsson 90'+2'

Parma vs Genoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 5.30pm
Como 2 - 1 Parma
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
David Romero

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.00pm
Genoa 1 - 1 Frosinone
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Milutin Osmajic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Parma 39.89%
Draw 29.92% ▼ (-0.07)
Genoa 30.12% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.05% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 63% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 37% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 36.86% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 63.14% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 17.32% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 82.65% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 8.21% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 91.79% ▼ (-0.09)

First Half Winner

Parma 28.85%
Draw 48.38%
Genoa 22.77%

Team To Score First

Parma 49.33% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 12.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Genoa 38.31% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.57%
Equal 8 12.15%
Under 8 30.28%
Over 9 45.18%
Equal 9 12.4%
Under 9 42.43%
Over 10.5 33.67%
Under 10.5 66.33%

Parma Goals

Over 1.5 31.92% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 68.08% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 11.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 88.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.87% ▼ (-0.04)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 60.21% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 39.79% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 25.1% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 74.9% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 7.48% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 92.52% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.16% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Parma 39.9%
Draw 29.93%
Genoa 30.11%
Parma
1-0 @ 13.61% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07%
3-1 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 39.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 12.36% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.93%
Genoa
0-1 @ 10.97% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 30.11%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2026 11.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Sascha Britschgi 46' yellowcard
  • Milan Djuric 76' yellowcard
  • Oliver Sørensen 76' yellowcard
  • Benja Cremaschi 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Messias 73'
  • yellowcard Jeff Ekhator 73'
  • yellowcard Patrizio Masini 77'
  • yellowcard J. Nuredini 89'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 19, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2025 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Milan Badelj 4' yellowcard
  • Lior Kasa 64' yellowcard
  • Morten Frendrup 65' goal
  • yellowcard Lautaro Valenti 7'
  • yellowcard Hernani 36'
  • yellowcard Fabio Pecchia 39'
  • yellowcard Enrico Del Prato 74'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
  • Mandela Keita 36' yellowcard
  • Anas Haj Mohamed 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicola Leali 27'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Zanoli 54'
  • yellowcard Jeff Ekhator 60'
  • goal Andrea Pinamonti 80'
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 82'
  • yellowcard Mario Balotelli 90'+1'
Serie B Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2023 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Adrian Benedyczak 32' goal
  • Franco Vazquez 53' goal
Serie B Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 3.15pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Morten Frendrup 16' goal
  • Milan Badelj 27' yellowcard
  • Albert Gudmundsson 40' yellowcard
  • Silvan Hefti 42' goal
  • Massimo Coda 51' goal
  • Mattia Bani 63' yellowcard
  • Albert Gudmundsson 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Roberto Inglese 21'
  • yellowcard Franco Vazquez 23'
  • goal Valentin Mihaila 37'
  • yellowcard Stanko Juric 45'
  • yellowcard Woyo Coulibaly 53'
  • goal Nahuel Estevez 89'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Circati 90'+4'