Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 21, 2026 8.00pm
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Milan

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.54%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk has a probability of 22.46% and a draw has a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win is 1-2 (5.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.24%).

Result

Inter Milan 55.54% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 21.99% ▼ (-0.86)
Shakhtar Donetsk 22.46% ▲ (+0.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.42% ▲ (+1.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.48% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 1.5 22.52% ▼ (-1.16)
Over 2.5 55.83% ▲ (+2.54)
Under 2.5 44.17% ▼ (-2.54)
Over 3.5 34.25% ▲ (+3.15)
Under 3.5 65.75% ▼ (-3.16)
Over 4.5 21.62% ▲ (+2.39)
Under 4.5 78.38% ▼ (-2.39)

First Half Winner

Inter Milan 40.13% ▼ (-4.72)
Draw 38.7% ▲ (+3.31)
Shakhtar Donetsk 21.17% ▲ (+1.43)

Team To Score First

Inter Milan 55.74% ▼ (-2.57)
No Goal 6.15% ▼ (-0.63)
Shakhtar Donetsk 38.11% ▲ (+3.21)

Corners

Over 8 48.82% ▼ (-13.47)
Equal 8 11.05% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 8 40.13% ▲ (+13.74)
Over 9 38.29% ▼ (-12.06)
Equal 9 10.53% ▼ (-1.42)
Under 9 51.18% ▲ (+13.47)
Over 10.5 29% ▼ (-9.82)
Under 10.5 71% ▲ (+9.82)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 1.5 52.85% ▲ (+0.96)
Under 1.5 47.15% ▼ (-0.96)
Over 2.5 27.66% ▲ (+1.29)
Under 2.5 72.34% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 3.5 11.48% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 3.5 88.52% ▼ (-0.61)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 56.35% ▲ (+1.29)
Under 0.5 43.65% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 1.5 27.21% ▲ (+1.82)
Under 1.5 72.79% ▼ (-1.81)
Over 2.5 10.06% ▲ (+1.91)
Under 2.5 89.94% ▼ (-1.91)
Over 3.5 3.95% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 3.5 96.05% ▼ (-1.02)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 55.53%
Draw 22%
Shakhtar Donetsk 22.46%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 11.19% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.48)
2-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.27)
3-1 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.42)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.36)
Other @ 11.23% ▲ (+0.47)
Total : 55.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.57)
0-0 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.63)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 22%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-2 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.34)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.36)
1-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.34)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.89)
Total : 22.46%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 24, 2021 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Edin Dzeko 61' goal
  • Edin Dzeko 67' goal
  • yellowcard Vitao 49'
Champions League
Sep 28, 2021 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Roberto De Zerbi 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 81'
Champions League
Dec 9, 2020 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Roberto Gagliardini 30' yellowcard
  • Achraf Hakimi 39' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Brozovic 61' yellowcard
  • Antonio Conte 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitao 29'
  • yellowcard Anatolii Trubin 90'+8'
Champions League
Oct 27, 2020 5.55pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 31'
  • yellowcard Arturo Vidal 64'
Europa League
Aug 17, 2020 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Spiel-Arena
  • Lautaro Martinez 19' goal
  • Danilo D'Ambrosio 64' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 74' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 78' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 84' goal
  • yellowcard Taison 58'