Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for an Al-Taawoun win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.