Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 53.13%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quadisiya win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Quadisiya would win this match.