Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.04% and a win for Al Najma had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Shabab win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 0-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%) , while for a Al Najma win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.