Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Khaleej win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.99% and a win for Al Najma had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Khaleej win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%) , while for a Al Najma win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.