Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.15% and a win for Al Najma had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Fateh win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%) , while for a Al Najma win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.