Saudi Pro League Gameweek 33
May 14, 2026 4.55pm
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium

Al Fateh vs Al Najma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fateh

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
May 10, 2026 5.05pm
Al Riyadh 1 - 0 Al Fateh
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Matias Vargas

Al Najma

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
May 9, 2026 5.15pm
Al Najma 2 - 2 Al Hazem
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Wanderson Felippe Cardoso dos Santos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al Fateh win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw has a probability of 20.15% and a win for Al Najma has a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Fateh win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.7%) , while for a Al Najma win it is 1-2 (5.16%).

Result

Al Fateh 62.15% (-0.04)
Draw 20.15% (-0.04)
Al Najma 17.64% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.92% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.84% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 17.16% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 63.43% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 36.57% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 40.4% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 59.6% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 26.35% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 73.65% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Al Fateh 42.64% (+0.11)
Draw 37.37% (-0.07)
Al Najma 19.99% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Al Fateh 58.76% (+0.05)
No Goal 4.68% (-0.03)
Al Najma 36.56% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 67.28% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.42% (+0.01)
Under 8 22.3% (+0.04)
Over 9 55.79% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.49% (+0.01)
Under 9 32.72% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 44.24% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 55.76% (+0.04)

Al Fateh Goals

Over 1.5 62.38% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 37.62% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 36.4% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 63.6% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 18.15% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 81.85% (+0.04)

Al Najma Goals

Over 0.5 53.5% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 46.5% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.73% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 76.27% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.95% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.05% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.08%
Under 3.5 97.92%

Score analysis

Al Fateh 62.14%
Draw 20.15%
Al Najma 17.63%
Al Fateh
2-1 @ 10.09% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.39% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.97% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 17.87% (-0.04)
Total : 62.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29%
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.15%
Al Najma
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.77% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 17.63%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2026 1.40pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Al-Najma Club Stadium
  • Ali Jasim 75' goal
  • Abdulelah Al Shammry 82' yellowcard
  • Abdulelah Al-Shammari 82' yellowcard
  • goal Abdullh Al Anazi 12'
  • goal Abdullah Al-Anazi 12'
  • yellowcard Fahad Aqeel Al Zubaidi 46'
  • yellowcard Fahad Aqeel Al-Zubaidi 46'
  • yellowcard Abdulaziz Al-Suwailem 76'
  • yellowcard Saad Al-Shurafa 76'
  • yellowcard Saad Al-Sharfa 76'
  • yellowcard Hussain Qasim 88'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al Sahihi 90'+3'