Saudi Pro League Gameweek 33
May 14, 2026 4.55pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium
  • Matías Vargas 21' goal
  • Fahad Aqeel Al-Zubaidi 55' goal
  • Amin Al-Bukhari 63' yellowcard
  • Saad Al-Sharfa 73' yellowcard
  • Naif Masoud 73' yellowcard
  • 73' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Ramos 73' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Refaat 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nawaf Al-Hawsawi 36'
  • yellowcard Hisham Al-Dubais 62'
  • yellowcard David Tijanic 62'
  • yellowcard Majed Mohammed Sharrahi 86'
  • yellowcard Majed Mohammed Sharrahi 87'

Al Fateh vs Al Najma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fateh

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
May 10, 2026 5.05pm
Al Riyadh 1 - 0 Al Fateh
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Matias Vargas

Al Najma

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
May 9, 2026 5.15pm
Al Najma 2 - 2 Al Hazem
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Wanderson Felippe Cardoso dos Santos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.15% and a win for Al Najma had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Fateh win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%) , while for a Al Najma win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Al Fateh 62.15% (-0.04)
Draw 20.15% (-0.04)
Al Najma 17.64% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.92% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.84% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 17.16% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 63.43% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 36.57% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 40.4% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 59.6% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 26.35% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 73.65% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Al Fateh 42.64% (+0.11)
Draw 37.37% (-0.07)
Al Najma 19.99% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Al Fateh 58.76% (+0.05)
No Goal 4.68% (-0.03)
Al Najma 36.56% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 67.28% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.42% (+0.01)
Under 8 22.3% (+0.04)
Over 9 55.79% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.49% (+0.01)
Under 9 32.72% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 44.24% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 55.76% (+0.04)

Al Fateh Goals

Over 1.5 62.38% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 37.62% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 36.4% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 63.6% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 18.15% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 81.85% (+0.04)

Al Najma Goals

Over 0.5 53.5% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 46.5% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.73% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 76.27% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.95% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.05% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.08%
Under 3.5 97.92%

Score analysis

Al Fateh 62.14%
Draw 20.15%
Al Najma 17.63%
Al Fateh
2-1 @ 10.09% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.39% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.97% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 17.87% (-0.04)
Total : 62.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29%
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.15%
Al Najma
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.77% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 17.63%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2026 1.40pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Al-Najma Club Stadium
  • Ali Jasim 75' goal
  • Abdulelah Al Shammry 82' yellowcard
  • Abdulelah Al-Shammari 82' yellowcard
  • goal Abdullh Al Anazi 12'
  • goal Abdullah Al-Anazi 12'
  • yellowcard Fahad Aqeel Al Zubaidi 46'
  • yellowcard Fahad Aqeel Al-Zubaidi 46'
  • yellowcard Abdulaziz Al-Suwailem 76'
  • yellowcard Saad Al-Shurafa 76'
  • yellowcard Saad Al-Sharfa 76'
  • yellowcard Hussain Qasim 88'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al Sahihi 90'+3'