Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Fateh win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 2-1 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.